big mural on wall in Nairobi--read carefully! |
political rally in Eldoret |
Many of you have probably heard that Kenya is about to have
its General Election on March 4, 2013,
which is coming right up. They are electing 6 positions this year which is one
of the biggest general elections in their short history. From President and
Vice President, to Governors, Senators, Women Reps, and Prime Ministers. Unfortunately, the Kenyans have historically
had a lot of tension among their tribes, much of which has to do with land
issues created by the British in pre independence days (favoring certain tribes
, putting certain people and not others in power, pitting people against each
other) and then carried on amongst themselves after independence (1963).
They are still carrying grudges that are over 50 years old
and although one cannot feel them much as an outsider, apparently they become
very heated and tense during election seasons. There was a lot of post election
violence in 2008 when the current President apparently “stole” the election at
the 11th hour. Eldoret and the surrounding Rift Valley region were
hit very hard, many people were hurt and killed and many fled their homes. The
issue of the past violence still lingers because there are still a lot of
displaced persons in this region and there are land issues that came up due to
people fleeing their properties as well. After speaking to many people about
this topic and trying to get a better feel for what is going on and why, my conclusion is that I can never really
understand it because these sentiments are so profound, historic, and complex. I
do understand it a bit better than I have, but I feel like I would need a course
from a neutral person to really completely get it.
I have made the effort to speak to people from different
tribes (personally I can’t yet tell but they don’t hesitate to tell you), as
Eldoret is a big enough city that there are people here from all over the
country. Also, on our recent trip to Nairobi, I was able to talk to a couple of
other people from that area and from the coastal area. It’s also interesting to
speak about it to people from different generations. Basically it comes down to
racism, which is of course a difficult topic but people here even acknowledge
it (they call it “tribalism”) and that it is something they have yet to get
over. It may take another generation or two.
It doesn’t help that two of the current lead presidential
contenders are the sons of two of the early Independence leaders who had a big
falling out back in the 60’s. From our perspective, they are both, and their
Vice Presidential candidates (they form coalitions before they are elected)
sort of fat cats who are out of touch with the poor of this country, own too
much property and are very good at manipulating the population (see attached
mural found in Nairobi). These guys, Raila Odinga, and Uhuru Kenyatta, remind
me of party bosses in the 30’s and 40’s in the U.S. I can’t really describe it,
but their campaigning (rallying is done in the streets a lot and sort of all
the time it seems) seems way over the top, loud, aggressive, and rather
unpleasant. People come out en masse to hear them; I’m told because they have
nothing better to do, rather than because they are going to vote for them.
On the good side, they both have created coalitions with
people from tribes outside their own which hopefully will help temper the cross
tribal hostilities, and they certainly are talking that talk. The bad thing is
that Uhuru, who is much loved by the Kikuyus, because his father was the leader
of Kenya back during independence, and his running mate, William Ruto, who is
from this region (Rift Valley is Kalenjin), have both been indicted by the
International Criminal Courts for crimes against humanity from the last post
election violence. There’s a lot of finger pointing and calls of “trumped up “
charges etc which causes me to see that these people just don’t trust each
other at all. At least in the political arena. It’s sad. Most of the Americans here cannot even believe
they are being taken seriously or allowed to participate, and we are quite
concerned about what will happen if they win, with regard to the country’s
international relations/aid, etc.
The other thing is, and I’ve been told this several times now,that both of the big candidates, or coalitions, go out into the villages and PAY people to vote for them. This is considered normal here for those two guys, anyway, and we are told this in the same conversation with someone who says, reassuringly, “we are hoping for free and fair elections.” My response , which I keep to myself , usually is “um, I think it’s too late.”
The other thing is, and I’ve been told this several times now,that both of the big candidates, or coalitions, go out into the villages and PAY people to vote for them. This is considered normal here for those two guys, anyway, and we are told this in the same conversation with someone who says, reassuringly, “we are hoping for free and fair elections.” My response , which I keep to myself , usually is “um, I think it’s too late.”
The crazy thing is,
for me, and it just proves how entrenched all of these feelings are, when you
suggest to a bright educated Kenyan that he/she could vote outside their
traditional tribal block (there are others who are running who seem capable,
have governed, and are not part of those
two historic rivalries), they tend to respond by saying that they can’t because
that is how it is here….you vote for your tribe. One young woman told me that
her family would be very angry if she voted otherwise.
Another negative thing is that since the two top contenders
are basically neck and neck right now, everyone is predicting a run-off. The
Presidential candidate must win by 51% . The current feeling is that they are
too close to call. OF course depending on what actually happens on election
day, that could change. A run-off would
be very expensive for the country but also would create even more tension.
So, as disconcerting as this is to us, and frankly, sort of confusing, really, we are
standing by, waiting to see what happens. However, IU and AMPATH have requested
that we leave the country for 2 weeks, so even though we don’t really want to
go right now, and Michael’s project is finally seriously underway , we are
going. We are taking a road trip through Tanzania, which should be both fun and
exciting. Lots of herds of big animals down there apparently which we are
excited to see. We will be driving and camping and sometimes staying in hotels
and will be keeping a close watch on the Kenyan elections during that time.
We are hoping that they will get through this period and
election without violence but there have already been some smatterings of
violent acts in other regions that may be election tension related. Maddeningly,
we have also been requested to leave if there is a runoff, so let’s all hope
that that doesn’t happen! Honestly, it’s exhausting and expensive to have to
pick up and leave due to the possibility of unrest! Having a student, a baby, and a dog counting on us makes it a bit of a
pickle to leave for long periods of time.
Personally I find all of this heartbreaking and disturbing
and in a sick sort of way, interesting. We shall see. Please keep your fingers
crossed and say prayers that Kenya comes out of this in a positive way.